In a latest report, crypto analysis agency Kaiko drew the crypto group’s consideration to the Bitcoin liquidity disaster. The agency added that this concern has been amplified because the launch of the US Spot Bitcoin ETFs.
BTC’s Liquidity Fragmentation
Kaiko analysts famous within the report that liquidity fragmentation continues to persist for the flagship crypto, main to cost discrepancies throughout exchanges. Merely put, liquidity fragmentation refers to when liquidity is inconsistently distributed throughout these exchanges, resulting in unstable costs, particularly amongst much less liquid exchanges.
Though this liquidity fragmentation has lowered for Bitcoin over time, the analysis agency famous that it was very obvious throughout final week’s sell-off, which led to the flagship crypto dropping beneath $50,000 for the primary time since February. Kaiko gave an instance of Binance US, whose Bitcoin’s worth diverged from these on extra liquid platforms in the course of the August 5 crypto crash.
Moreover, Kaiko famous that worth slippage, among the finest liquidity indicators, tends to spike as liquidity dries up throughout market sell-offs just like the one on August 5. As anticipated, Bitcoin’s slippage elevated in the course of the August 5 sell-off and was extra pronounced on some exchanges and buying and selling pairs.
The analysis agency revealed that Japan’s Zaif BTC-JPY buying and selling pair had the very best slippage on the sell-off day, because of the Financial institution of Japan’s charge hike. KuCoin’s BTC-EUR pair suffered an analogous slippage, nearing nearly 5.5% on that day. Interstingly, Binance US and BitMEX’s US-dollar stablecoin pairs, that are often probably the most liquid on crypto exchanges, additionally skilled important will increase of over 3%.
As Kaiko famous, this liquidity disaster doesn’t solely fluctuate throughout completely different exchanges however may also fluctuate amongst completely different buying and selling pairs on the identical alternate. As an example, in March, the worth of Coinbase’s BTC-EUR pair, which is much less liquid than its BTC-USD pair, diverged considerably from the broader market following heightened market exercise.
How The Spot Bitcoin ETFs Have Contributed To This Liquidity Disaster
Kaiko additionally talked about that liquidity within the BTC-USD markets is more and more concentrated throughout weekdays. This development is claimed to have intensified because of the US Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which now maintain a important quantity of Bitcoin’s circulating provide. In contrast to the crypto market, which trades 24/7, these Spot Bitcoin ETFs nonetheless belong to the normal markets, which shut on weekends.
The analysis agency famous that this causes sell-offs that begin on Friday to worsen weekend uncertainty, thereby amplifying worth impacts. In different phrases, costs are inclined to drop decrease than anticipated throughout weekend sell-offs because of the lesser liquidity.
Though weekend volatility is claimed to have typically declined since 2021, Kaiko added that elevated weekday buying and selling focus has heightened the “risk of sharp weekend price swings during market stress.” The analysis agency highlighted how Bitcoin loved a 14% worth acquire between when the US market opened on Monday and its Friday shut final week.
Featured picture created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
